{"id":481,"date":"2020-10-05T16:37:46","date_gmt":"2020-10-05T09:37:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/?p=481"},"modified":"2020-10-05T16:37:46","modified_gmt":"2020-10-05T09:37:46","slug":"dau-tuong-dien-bien-va-du-doan-gia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/dau-tuong-dien-bien-va-du-doan-gia\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1eacU T\u01af\u01a0NG: DI\u1ec4N BI\u1ebeN V\u00c0 D\u1ef0 \u0110O\u00c1N GI\u00c1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng k\u1ebft th\u00fac tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf ngay v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 1020. Gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 gi\u1eb1ng co quanh ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng n\u00e0y trong su\u1ed1t 2 phi\u00ean cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, sau khi \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt nh\u1edd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Grain Stocks. T\u1ed3n kho cu\u1ed1i ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 19\/20 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c USDA ch\u1ed1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 523 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n g\u1ea7n 10% so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 576 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho 909 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1 trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 18\/19, \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap cho gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt \u0111\u1ebfn h\u01a1n 30 cents ngay sau th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m b\u00e1o c\u00e1o n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1. Vi\u1ec7c t\u1ed3n kho 19\/20 gi\u1ea3m s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u t\u1ed3n kho c\u1ee7a ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i c\u00e1c con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Cung \u2013 c\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 10 ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh v\u00e0o 23 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00eam th\u1ee9 6 tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn trong ng\u00e0y<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u, vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd mua 264,000 t\u1ea5n \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng M\u1ef9 trong ng\u00e0y giao d\u1ecbch cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt ngay khi m\u1edf c\u1eeda phi\u00ean. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd mua h\u00e0ng trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i do n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111ang trong k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 Qu\u1ed1c Kh\u00e1nh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn 8 ng\u00e0y. V\u00ec th\u1ebf, n\u1ebfu USDA c\u00f3 \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Daily Export Sales th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201cbullish\u201d \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 n\u1ebfu b\u00e1n cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Hoa K\u1ef3 trong ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho r\u1eb1ng, ch\u01b0a ch\u1eafc Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cam k\u1ebft mua 36.5 t\u1ef7 USD n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n M\u1ef9 trong n\u0103m 2020, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 mua h\u00e0ng ng\u00f4 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng trong th\u00e1ng 8 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 9. Do \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n tranh th\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea9y h\u00e0ng ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed7i khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng 1020, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e1 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n n\u1eefa. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u1edbn l\u00ean gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua h\u1eb3n m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y trong m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i phi\u00ean t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Argentina \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng, kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1eeb 33% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 28% trong th\u00e1ng 10 n\u00e0y v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh vi\u1ec7c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u01a1n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u00e9p d\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc gia t\u0103ng. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i Nam M\u1ef9 kh\u00e1 eo h\u1eb9p do \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u trong \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, th\u00f4ng tin n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201cbullish\u201d \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. Tuy nhi\u00ean c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m n\u00e0y s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ebfn n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00ec c\u00e1c b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. Do \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng h\u1ecd \u0111\u1eadu ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u1eabn \u0111ang gi\u1eb1ng co quanh m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda trong s\u00e1ng nay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m chung c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u th\u1ef1c v\u1eadt trong tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc. \u00c1p l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y \u0111ang c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m nh\u1edd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c H\u1ea1 vi\u1ec7n M\u1ef9 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c th\u00f4ng qua g\u00f3i c\u1ee9u tr\u1ee3 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 2,200 t\u1ef7 USD. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 g\u00f3i c\u1ee9u tr\u1ee3 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i ch\u1edd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7n bi\u1ec3u quy\u1ebft v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 11 t\u1edbi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e2y v\u1eabn s\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng tin gi\u00fap cho gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>D\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n gi\u00e1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>\u0110\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u00e1ng\u00a011\u00a0(ZSX20) s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eb1ng co quanh m\u1ee9c 1020 trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u00e1o c\u00e1o WASDE th\u00e1ng 10, G.O Commodities d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng 1015 ho\u1eb7c 1010, sau \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec kho\u1ea3ng giao d\u1ecbch l\u1edbn 1010 \u2013 1040.<\/li><li>Kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u00e1ng 12 (ZMZ20) nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd quay l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u1eb1ng co quanh v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 350 trong 1 \u2013 2 phi\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. Gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u01b0\u1ee3t th\u00eam \u0111\u1ebfn 348, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u h\u01a1n. Sau \u0111\u00f3, kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean 350 \u0111\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh.<\/li><li>D\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u00e1ng 12 (ZLZ20) c\u0169ng s\u1ebd quay l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u1eb1ng co quanh m\u1ee9c 32.00, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn trong \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 tr\u00e1i chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":351,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=481"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":482,"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481\/revisions\/482"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}