{"id":725,"date":"2020-11-11T11:11:57","date_gmt":"2020-11-11T04:11:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/?p=725"},"modified":"2020-11-11T11:11:57","modified_gmt":"2020-11-11T04:11:57","slug":"cbot-thi-truong-nong-san-bien-dong-manh-sau-bao-cao-cung-cau-thang-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/giaodichdsmart.vn\/contents\/cbot-thi-truong-nong-san-bien-dong-manh-sau-bao-cao-cung-cau-thang-11\/","title":{"rendered":"CBOT: TH\u1eca TR\u01af\u1edcNG N\u00d4NG S\u1ea2N BI\u1ebeN \u0110\u1ed8NG M\u1ea0NH SAU B\u00c1O C\u00c1O CUNG C\u1ea6U TH\u00c1NG 11"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n\n

Gi\u00e1 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c v\u00e0 h\u1ea1t l\u1ea5y d\u1ea7u tr\u00ean s\u00e0n CBOT \u0111\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1t t\u0103ng r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh h\u00f4m qua – sau th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m USDA ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Cung \u2013 c\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 11. C\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i 1 \u2013 2 ng\u00e0y t\u1edbi. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. \u0110\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng<\/strong><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    \u0110\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n 3% trong ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m qua, sau khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 \u0111i ngang trong \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean s\u00e1ng v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u00edch d\u1ea7n v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean s\u00e1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean t\u1ed1i. M\u1ee9c nh\u1ea3y v\u1ecdt sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c t\u1ed3n kho cu\u1ed1i v\u1ee5 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng M\u1ef9 b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 190 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 290 trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 10, do n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t thu ho\u1ea1ch th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o WASDE th\u00e1ng 11 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013 t\u1edbi nay, v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u1eefa t\u1ed3n kho v\u00e0 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 r\u01a1i xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong v\u00f2ng 37 n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi cung c\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a Argentina c\u0169ng b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 51.0 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 53.5 trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 10, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ed3n kho \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi 20\/21 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 2 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n v\u00e0o m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u00ean. Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khi g\u1eb7p m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh \u1edf v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 1150, tuy nhi\u00ean, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft s\u1eafp t\u1edbi b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i t\u1ea1i Nam M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn eo h\u1eb9p tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, G.O Commodities v\u1eabn cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1edbm l\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 1200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    2. Kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1t t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt theo gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng trong phi\u00ean h\u00f4m qua. Trong \u0111\u00f3, kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng s\u00e1t v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u1ea5t, do nhu cao cho vi\u1ec7c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t th\u1ee9c \u0103n ch\u0103n nu\u00f4i trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m. Do kh\u00f4ng s\u1eb5n c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m thay th\u1ebf nh\u01b0 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng, vi\u1ec7c ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng eo h\u1eb9p khi\u1ebfn cho kh\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169ng \u0111ang r\u1ea5t thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ebfn 12 USD ngay sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd. Gi\u00e1 sau \u0111\u00f3 g\u1eb7p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd 400, v\u00e0 c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 l\u1edbn v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u d\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng, gi\u00e1 cho gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh 36.00. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed3ng lo\u1ea1t t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt sau th\u00f4ng tin M\u1ef9 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ebf th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng vaccine, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00ecnh c\u00f4ng ch\u01b0a h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t \u1edf Argentina, th\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c gi\u00fap gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    3. Ng\u00f4<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Ng\u00f4 l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t trong phi\u00ean h\u00f4m qua, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 15 cents. C\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 v\u1edbi \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ng\u00f4 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c USDA gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u1ed3n kho ng\u00f4 M\u1ef9 ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 20\/21 v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 1.7 t\u1ec9 gi\u1ea1, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 kho\u1ea3ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u1eabn l\u00e0 do m\u1ee9c n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng do \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01a1n b\u00e3o l\u1edbn h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 8 v\u00e0 th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i \u1edf c\u00e1c bang trung t\u00e2m Midwest. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ea5y, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ng\u00f4 M\u1ef9 c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u00eam 8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, do nhu c\u1ea7u cao t\u1eeb ph\u00eda Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u1ed3n kho ng\u00f4 v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o WASDE th\u00e1ng 11 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2012 \u0111\u1ebfn nay. Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u1ed3n kho ng\u00f4 M\u1ef9, t\u1ed3n kho ng\u00f4 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi 20\/21 c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn 9 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do Ukraine v\u00e0 EU \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111i l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n v\u00e0 2 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. Gi\u00e1 ng\u00f4 k\u1ebft th\u00fac phi\u00ean v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 420, c\u0169ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 450 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, khi m\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u ethanol nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    4. L\u00faa m\u1ef3<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    L\u00faa m\u1ef3 c\u0169ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh g\u1ea7n 2% trong ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m qua, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu nh\u1edd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c chung c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n. B\u1ea3n th\u00e2n c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Cung \u2013 c\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0o b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd v\u1edbi l\u00faa m\u1ef3, n\u00ean gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec1u sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. T\u1ed3n kho l\u00faa m\u1ef3 M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m 5 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1 do nhu c\u1ea7u cao h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng b\u1ed9t m\u1ef3. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 83.5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 t\u1edbi, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p vi\u1ec7c th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i trong su\u1ed1t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gieo tr\u1ed3ng, l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u1ef3 ch\u01b0a v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 610 v\u00e0 b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea9y ng\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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